Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.746896 1.895546 2.053350 2.233746 2.434752 2.652392 2.906610
2025-12-21 1.477266 1.672809 1.892018 2.157397 2.471881 2.835030 3.289539
2025-12-28 1.340911 1.566963 1.830884 2.164665 2.579658 3.084127 3.752266
2026-01-04 1.248568 1.496456 1.795566 2.187731 2.695359 3.340166 4.237523
2026-01-11 1.177535 1.441915 1.770021 2.213829 2.809006 3.595298 4.740060
2026-01-18 1.117093 1.393669 1.745462 2.234647 2.911873 3.839177 5.246995
2026-01-25 1.059052 1.342933 1.711893 2.237673 2.986616 4.046058 5.718000
2026-02-01 0.990477 1.272967 1.646751 2.190446 2.983827 4.137868 6.021457
2026-02-08 0.935287 1.217130 1.596335 2.158658 2.998233 4.252575 6.368012
2026-02-15 0.891917 1.174589 1.561037 2.144868 3.036215 4.403426 6.785740
2026-02-22 0.870645 1.161218 1.565323 2.188216 3.162578 4.701065 7.481341
2026-03-01 0.834729 1.124920 1.534197 2.175624 3.199497 4.856118 7.944557
2026-03-08 0.797308 1.085228 1.496822 2.152339 3.219595 4.988468 8.390279
2026-03-15 0.749208 1.027760 1.430225 2.079429 3.153224 4.967766 8.546879
2026-03-22 0.725830 1.005498 1.415020 2.086354 3.219313 5.182118 9.183253
2026-03-29 0.707982 0.990468 1.409730 2.108362 3.311868 5.451171 9.964857
2026-04-05 0.692058 0.977451 1.406611 2.133262 3.410641 5.740088 10.828753
2026-04-12 0.676002 0.963385 1.400923 2.153122 3.501352 6.021702 11.718590
2026-04-19 0.657200 0.944163 1.385956 2.156008 3.560897 6.247739 12.517352
2026-04-26 0.629305 0.909561 1.344653 2.110953 3.527926 6.285592 12.880961
2026-05-03 0.606205 0.881613 1.312873 2.080620 3.520222 6.373495 13.377307
2026-05-10 0.587931 0.860629 1.291544 2.067459 3.544199 6.528996 14.065543
2026-05-17 0.581349 0.858091 1.300494 2.108825 3.677139 6.929033 15.452042